| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
5,975 |
0.560 |
$3,345.92 |
$-476.55 |
-12.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12,116 |
0.185 |
$2,241.50 |
$371.31 |
+19.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,690 |
0.645 |
$1,735.05 |
$94.15 |
+5.7% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.979 |
$1,468.15 |
$327.26 |
+28.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,911 |
0.545 |
$1,041.63 |
$9.56 |
+0.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
996 |
0.996 |
$991.81 |
$2.02 |
+0.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
999 |
0.973 |
$971.24 |
$-6.98 |
-0.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
520 |
0.994 |
$516.72 |
$4.54 |
+0.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
882 |
0.555 |
$489.43 |
$-68.90 |
-12.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
467 |
0.998 |
$465.55 |
$1.17 |
+0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
451 |
0.984 |
$443.99 |
$0.50 |
+0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
422 |
0.977 |
$412.08 |
$2.65 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.385 |
$385.00 |
$185.00 |
+92.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
288 |
0.927 |
$266.80 |
$4.17 |
+1.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
209 |
0.997 |
$207.78 |
$1.36 |
+0.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
133 |
0.985 |
$131.33 |
$0.70 |
+0.5% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.118 |
$118.50 |
$18.50 |
+18.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.225 |
$112.49 |
$1.11 |
+1.0% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.370 |
$74.00 |
$48.00 |
+184.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.575 |
$57.45 |
$14.55 |
+33.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
256 |
0.224 |
$57.30 |
$0.21 |
+0.4% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
163 |
0.260 |
$42.43 |
$11.90 |
+39.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
495 |
0.075 |
$37.13 |
$-4.37 |
-10.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.966 |
$10.64 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,193 |
0.001 |
$0.60 |
$-15.17 |
-96.2% |