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Trader leaderboard/Cattail

Cattail

0xc4c1246af95cf0cfe70448f08a1a3655b6e77324
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$153
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$76
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 9L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
13%
2W / 13L
Trades (30d)
15
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$50.92
· loss $51
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $153 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,865 · all-time $213,807

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.4% 80W/22L 41 $23,313
🏛 Politics — 1 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2,062 0.835 $1,721.75 $195.89 +12.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 1,673 0.855 $1,430.79 $110.30 +8.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 1,347 0.895 $1,205.93 $463.70 +62.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 1,369 0.790 $1,081.75 $126.40 +13.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.964 $963.50 $63.50 +7.1%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 943 0.940 $886.39 $103.73 +13.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 1,107 0.600 $663.96 $300.29 +82.6%
Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 604 0.870 $525.30 $197.81 +60.4%
Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 462 0.860 $397.07 $186.38 +88.5%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? No 880 0.405 $356.29 $55.29 +18.4%
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 254 0.760 $192.74 $6.50 +3.5%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? No 528 0.345 $182.11 $-0.53 -0.3%
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 276 0.615 $170.04 $27.59 +19.4%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? No 1,240 0.135 $167.35 $1.91 +1.2%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? No 146 0.925 $135.18 $5.11 +3.9%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? No 137 0.910 $124.52 $1.29 +1.0%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 783 0.145 $113.48 $-11.74 -9.4%
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 162 0.655 $106.09 $5.37 +5.3%
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? No 111 0.890 $99.03 $10.01 +11.2%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes 230 0.375 $86.13 $-19.52 -18.5%
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 64 0.730 $46.45 $4.00 +9.4%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? No 253 0.155 $39.18 $-9.86 -20.1%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 45 0.750 $33.62 $0.90 +2.7%