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Trader leaderboard/Cattail

Cattail

0xc4c1246af95cf0cfe70448f08a1a3655b6e77324
PnL (30d)
+$3,446
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,160
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
80W / 22L · 88 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
148W / 42L
Trades (30d)
190
across 41 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$172.32
avg win $335 · loss $72
Profit Factor
6.95
$4,026 won / $579 lost
Reward / Risk
4.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,267 · all-time $213,209

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.4% 80W/22L 41 $23,313
🏛 Politics 1 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2,062 0.815 $1,680.31 $154.44 +10.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 1,673 0.850 $1,422.42 $101.94 +7.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 1,347 0.935 $1,259.83 $517.60 +69.7%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 1,369 0.785 $1,074.91 $119.55 +12.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.964 $963.50 $63.50 +7.1%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 943 0.940 $886.39 $103.73 +13.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 1,107 0.585 $647.36 $283.69 +78.0%
Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 604 0.865 $522.28 $194.79 +59.5%
Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 462 0.855 $394.76 $184.07 +87.4%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? No 880 0.395 $347.50 $46.49 +15.4%
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 254 0.760 $192.74 $6.50 +3.5%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? No 528 0.340 $179.53 $-3.11 -1.7%
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 276 0.615 $170.04 $27.59 +19.4%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? No 146 0.920 $134.45 $4.38 +3.4%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? No 137 0.910 $124.52 $1.29 +1.0%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 783 0.145 $113.48 $-11.74 -9.4%
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 162 0.655 $106.09 $5.37 +5.3%
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? No 111 0.890 $99.03 $10.01 +11.2%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes 230 0.375 $86.13 $-19.52 -18.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? No 723 0.115 $83.13 $-28.20 -25.3%
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 64 0.745 $47.40 $4.95 +11.7%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 45 0.760 $34.06 $1.35 +4.1%