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Trader leaderboard/penguinec

penguinec

0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,068
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$196
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
1,861W / 2,479L · 130 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
1,910W / 2,506L · 54 open
Trades (30d)
4,470
across 830 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$2.58
avg win $42 · loss $43
Profit Factor
0.89
$15,952 won / $18,020 lost
Reward / Risk
0.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,447
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $43,190 · all-time $2,299,045

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.1% 2,496W/3,426L 1155 $118,519
⚽ Sports 47.0% 573W/645L 347 $22,190
🎬 Culture 94.9% 37W/2L 12 $866
🤖 Tech 97.4% 37W/1L 6 $569
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 575 0.771 $443.65 $-28.66 -6.1%
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 400 0.970 $388.00 $16.00 +4.3%
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,125 0.205 $230.62 $5.62 +2.5%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner Team Resilience 160 1.000 $159.92 $54.82 +52.2%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? No 872 0.164 $143.06 $80.07 +127.1%
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026? No 460 0.255 $117.30 $-2.12 -1.8%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 228 0.514 $117.25 $25.87 +28.3%
Will Peyton Watson play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? No 180 0.605 $108.90 $-3.08 -2.8%
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? Yes 168 0.575 $96.60 $29.64 +44.3%
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? Yes 218 0.385 $83.93 $14.34 +20.6%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? No 1,149 0.048 $54.55 $-14.37 -20.9%
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? No 117 0.378 $44.31 $42.94 +3135.9%
Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 50 0.862 $43.10 $-0.45 -1.0%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? No 84 0.445 $37.38 $-0.42 -1.1%
Will Rangers WFC win on 2026-08-05? No 53 0.675 $35.83 $0.33 +0.9%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes 269 0.133 $35.77 $23.87 +200.4%
Will CA Grau win on 2026-08-08? No 50 0.705 $35.25 $0.75 +2.2%
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11? No 55 0.335 $18.31 $-2.40 -11.6%
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A ROSSMANN Centaurs 50 0.295 $14.75 $1.25 +9.3%
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 21 0.615 $12.91 $0.31 +2.5%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Boston Celtics? Yes 120 0.099 $11.91 $5.09 +74.6%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Yes 34 0.350 $11.77 $6.05 +105.9%
Exact Score: FC Hradec Králové 1 - 0 Beşiktaş JK? No 12 0.930 $11.16 $2.16 +24.0%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Yes 18 0.545 $9.54 $1.84 +23.9%
Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 57 0.166 $9.43 $3.16 +50.5%