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Trader leaderboard/penguinec

penguinec

0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,032
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
291W / 83L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
310W / 99L
Trades (30d)
409
across 57 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$20.24
avg win $56 · loss $85
Profit Factor
1.94
$2,135 won / $1,103 lost
Reward / Risk
0.66
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $43,727 · all-time $2,299,583

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.1% 2,496W/3,431L 1157 $118,575
⚽ Sports 47.9% 568W/619L 336 $20,948
🎬 Culture 94.9% 37W/2L 12 $866
🤖 Tech 97.4% 37W/1L 6 $569
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 575 0.771 $443.65 $-28.66 -6.1%
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 400 0.969 $387.40 $15.40 +4.1%
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 1,125 0.205 $230.62 $5.62 +2.5%
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026? No 460 0.255 $117.30 $-2.12 -1.8%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 228 0.514 $117.25 $25.87 +28.3%
Will Peyton Watson play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? No 180 0.610 $109.80 $-2.18 -1.9%
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? Yes 168 0.570 $95.74 $28.78 +43.0%
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? Yes 218 0.385 $83.93 $14.34 +20.6%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? No 929 0.074 $68.76 $2.07 +3.1%
Will Rangers WFC win on 2026-08-05? No 103 0.585 $60.30 $-4.20 -6.5%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? No 1,149 0.048 $54.55 $-14.37 -20.9%
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? No 117 0.380 $44.60 $43.23 +3157.3%
Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 50 0.862 $43.10 $-0.45 -1.0%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? No 84 0.445 $37.38 $-0.42 -1.1%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes 269 0.134 $36.04 $24.14 +202.7%
Will CA Grau win on 2026-08-08? No 50 0.710 $35.50 $1.00 +2.9%
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11? No 55 0.290 $15.85 $-4.86 -23.5%
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A ROSSMANN Centaurs 50 0.285 $14.24 $0.74 +5.5%
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 21 0.615 $12.91 $0.31 +2.5%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Yes 34 0.350 $11.77 $6.05 +105.9%
Exact Score: FC Hradec Králové 1 - 0 Beşiktaş JK? No 12 0.930 $11.16 $2.16 +24.0%
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner Butterfly 10 1.000 $9.99 $5.39 +117.3%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Yes 18 0.545 $9.54 $1.84 +23.9%
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? Yes 74 0.110 $8.14 $0.74 +10.0%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Boston Celtics? Yes 133 0.060 $8.06 $0.46 +6.1%