| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
491 |
0.685 |
$336.11 |
$33.09 |
+10.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.964 |
$172.95 |
$18.32 |
+11.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
157 |
0.972 |
$152.60 |
$4.24 |
+2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
172 |
0.865 |
$149.01 |
$8.72 |
+6.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
160 |
0.845 |
$135.21 |
$8.26 |
+6.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.885 |
$127.74 |
$5.53 |
+4.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
204 |
0.625 |
$127.50 |
$-1.76 |
-1.4% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
128 |
0.973 |
$124.92 |
$32.32 |
+34.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
139 |
0.865 |
$120.24 |
$-2.08 |
-1.7% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
138 |
0.845 |
$117.03 |
$4.20 |
+3.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
No |
117 |
0.956 |
$111.85 |
$1.79 |
+1.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
129 |
0.855 |
$110.30 |
$3.93 |
+3.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
130 |
0.830 |
$107.90 |
$-11.70 |
-9.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.925 |
$107.30 |
$5.74 |
+5.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
106 |
0.984 |
$104.30 |
$6.78 |
+7.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
127 |
0.815 |
$103.49 |
$16.28 |
+18.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
190 |
0.545 |
$103.39 |
$10.43 |
+11.2% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
108 |
0.954 |
$103.01 |
$4.96 |
+5.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
105 |
0.973 |
$102.11 |
$8.66 |
+9.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
95 |
0.987 |
$93.72 |
$4.05 |
+4.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
139 |
0.645 |
$89.66 |
$7.29 |
+8.8% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
97 |
0.919 |
$89.19 |
$4.54 |
+5.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
104 |
0.850 |
$88.40 |
$6.07 |
+7.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
91 |
0.961 |
$87.68 |
$2.59 |
+3.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.994 |
$85.36 |
$6.48 |
+8.2% |