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Trader

0xc22be532d9d7990aadacf69589aab5e73d06352c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
180W / 6L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
181W / 6L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
188
across 186 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.03
avg win $0 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.85
$27 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $675 · all-time $1,282,014

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 97.7% 791W/19L 815 $4,279
🌤 Weather 95.9% 47W/2L 49 $245
₿ Crypto 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 100 0.790 $79.05 $29.05 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.209 $20.95 $-29.05 -58.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.997 $5.30 $0.25 +4.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.26 $0.26 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.996 $5.19 $0.19 +3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.15 $0.15 +3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.09 $0.10 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.09 $0.10 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.09 $0.10 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.999 $5.08 $0.10 +1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.997 $5.07 $0.09 +1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.995 $5.06 $0.08 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.05 $0.05 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.997 $5.03 $0.03 +0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.996 $5.03 $0.03 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 2 1.000 $1.59 $0.01 +1.0%