PnL (30d)

+$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

98%

788W / 19L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

98%

789W / 20L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

810

across 803 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.01

avg win $0 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.09

$110 won / $101 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$15

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	97.6% 788W/19L	803	$4,223
🌤 Weather	96.4% 53W/2L	54	$270
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	100	0.790	$79.05	$29.05	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.209	$20.95	$-29.05	-58.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.26	$0.26	+5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.15	$0.15	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.999	$5.14	$0.15	+2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.999	$5.08	$0.09	+1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.997	$5.07	$0.08	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.05	$0.05	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.990	$5.04	$0.05	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.997	$1.59	$0.01	+0.7%