PnL (30d)

−$6

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-28.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 6L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

3W / 11L

Trades (30d)

14

across 5 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.00

· loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $6 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.1% 41W/52L	59	$4,397
₿ Crypto	—	5	$85
💵 Economy	—	5	$85
⚽ Sports	—	4	$13
🏛 Politics	—	3	$18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,040	0.017	$85.68	$-16.59	-16.2%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	3,000	0.015	$46.50	$5.52	+13.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	200	0.145	$29.00	$-1.00	-3.3%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	500	0.055	$27.50	$-15.00	-35.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	100	0.200	$20.00	$-5.00	-20.0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	6,419	0.003	$16.05	$-14.46	-47.4%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	2,691	0.004	$12.11	$-12.49	-50.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	207	0.043	$8.98	$-7.28	-44.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	100	0.070	$7.00	$-3.00	-30.0%
Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	79	0.076	$6.04	$2.09	+53.0%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	167	0.033	$5.44	$2.74	+101.4%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	163	0.033	$5.39	$2.83	+110.5%
Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	50	0.085	$4.23	$1.74	+70.0%
Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.042	$4.15	$-0.85	-17.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	100	0.029	$2.85	$-7.15	-71.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	100	0.028	$2.80	$-2.20	-44.0%
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	100	0.028	$2.75	$1.65	+150.0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,425	0.001	$2.71	$-10.35	-79.2%
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.027	$2.70	$-2.30	-46.0%
Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.025	$2.54	$-2.46	-49.2%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	9	0.279	$2.54	$2.31	+1016.0%
Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	74	0.032	$2.36	$1.25	+113.3%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	14	0.157	$2.25	$2.11	+1470.0%
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	59	0.032	$1.86	$1.21	+186.4%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	10	0.180	$1.80	$0.30	+20.0%