PnL (30d)

−$833

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$680

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-47.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

41W / 52L · 448 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

415W / 126L

Trades (30d)

541

across 59 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$37.88

avg win $31 · loss $64

Profit Factor

0.18

$185 won / $1,018 lost

Reward / Risk

0.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.1% 41W/52L	59	$4,397
⚽ Sports	—	6	$17
₿ Crypto	—	6	$91
💵 Economy	—	6	$91
🏛 Politics	—	3	$18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,040	0.017	$85.68	$-16.59	-16.2%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	3,000	0.015	$46.50	$5.52	+13.5%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	500	0.055	$27.50	$-15.00	-35.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	200	0.130	$26.00	$-4.00	-13.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	100	0.195	$19.50	$-5.50	-22.0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	6,419	0.003	$16.05	$-14.46	-47.4%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	2,691	0.004	$12.11	$-12.49	-50.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	207	0.040	$8.28	$-7.98	-49.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	100	0.080	$8.00	$-2.00	-20.0%
Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	50	0.130	$6.47	$3.98	+160.0%
Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	79	0.076	$6.04	$2.09	+53.0%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	163	0.033	$5.39	$2.83	+110.5%
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.043	$4.25	$-0.75	-15.0%
Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.041	$4.05	$-0.95	-19.0%
Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	100	0.040	$3.95	$-1.05	-21.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	100	0.038	$3.80	$-6.20	-62.0%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	150	0.021	$3.14	$0.71	+29.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	100	0.028	$2.75	$-2.25	-45.0%
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	100	0.028	$2.75	$1.65	+150.0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,425	0.001	$2.71	$-10.35	-79.2%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	14	0.187	$2.68	$2.54	+1770.0%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	9	0.280	$2.55	$2.32	+1020.0%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	10	0.180	$1.80	$0.30	+20.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.50	$-3.50	-70.0%
Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	49	0.028	$1.36	$0.63	+86.7%