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Trader

0xc185f496c90d72e28131f58a980416e22d317020
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$186
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$240
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
177W / 299L · 217 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
214W / 458L · 21 open
Trades (30d)
693
across 217 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.00
avg win $6 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.97
$378 won / $192 lost
Reward / Risk
4.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,148 · all-time $102,933

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.0% 504W/725L 442 $9,128
⚽ Sports 41.7% 118W/165L 116 $3,241
💵 Economy 35.0% 7W/13L 21 $283
₿ Crypto 35.0% 7W/13L 20 $274
🤖 Tech 2 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 807 0.490 $395.19 $-143.19 -26.6%
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) FC Carl Zeiss Jena 261 0.530 $138.21 $-38.11 -21.6%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000? Yes 36 0.975 $35.47 $7.70 +27.7%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? Yes 1,614 0.018 $29.06 $-164.17 -85.0%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 261 0.105 $27.59 $19.30 +233.0%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) New York Yankees 21 0.850 $18.06 $12.11 +203.6%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 17 0.645 $11.14 $-1.81 -14.0%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No 10 0.966 $9.65 $1.85 +23.8%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No 11 0.845 $9.18 $0.71 +8.3%
Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5) NEC 12 0.745 $8.69 $1.81 +26.3%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026? No 10 0.825 $8.25 $2.05 +33.1%
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch No 11 0.675 $7.41 $1.76 +31.1%
Spread: FC Alverca (-1.5) FC Porto 10 0.665 $6.65 $2.15 +47.8%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 10 0.665 $6.65 $0.85 +14.7%
Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5) PSV 5 0.895 $4.47 $1.12 +33.6%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 21 0.205 $4.37 $-6.26 -58.9%
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch Yes 11 0.390 $4.28 $0.00 +0.0%
Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5) PSV 5 0.695 $3.47 $1.17 +51.1%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Over 10 0.339 $3.39 $0.52 +18.1%
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 5 0.525 $2.62 $-0.47 -15.3%
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $1.25 +100.0%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08? Yes 12 0.155 $1.81 $0.06 +3.3%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes 11 0.160 $1.74 $0.22 +14.3%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100? No 36 0.048 $1.73 $-0.27 -13.6%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 10 0.155 $1.55 $-2.25 -59.2%