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Trader

0xc185f496c90d72e28131f58a980416e22d317020
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$52
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
117W / 150L · 29 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
138W / 156L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
296
across 74 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.89
avg win $8 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.38
$191 won / $139 lost
Reward / Risk
1.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,390 · all-time $103,175

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.9% 505W/730L 448 $9,328
⚽ Sports 41.5% 119W/168L 120 $3,417
💵 Economy 35.0% 7W/13L 21 $283
₿ Crypto 35.0% 7W/13L 20 $274
🤖 Tech 2 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) Bayer Leverkusen 807 0.490 $395.19 $-143.19 -26.6%
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) FC Carl Zeiss Jena 261 0.530 $138.21 $-38.11 -21.6%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? Yes 1,614 0.021 $34.55 $-158.68 -82.1%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000? Yes 36 0.897 $32.65 $4.88 +17.6%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 261 0.080 $20.79 $12.50 +150.9%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) New York Yankees 21 0.850 $18.06 $12.11 +203.6%
Spread: FK Apolonia Fier (-2.5) Hammarby IF FF 17 1.000 $17.26 $4.31 +33.3%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No 10 0.966 $9.65 $1.85 +23.8%
Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5) NEC 12 0.750 $8.75 $1.87 +27.1%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No 11 0.775 $8.42 $-0.05 -0.6%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026? No 10 0.820 $8.20 $2.00 +32.3%
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch No 11 0.680 $7.47 $1.81 +32.0%
Spread: FC Alverca (-1.5) FC Porto 10 0.665 $6.65 $2.15 +47.8%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 10 0.660 $6.60 $0.80 +13.8%
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch Yes 11 0.400 $4.39 $0.11 +2.6%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 21 0.206 $4.38 $-6.25 -58.8%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100? No 36 0.112 $4.06 $2.06 +102.7%
Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5) PSV 5 0.785 $3.92 $0.57 +17.2%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Over 10 0.340 $3.40 $0.53 +18.5%
Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5) PSV 5 0.675 $3.38 $1.07 +46.7%
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 5 0.525 $2.62 $-0.47 -15.3%
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $1.25 +100.0%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08? Yes 12 0.155 $1.81 $0.06 +3.3%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes 11 0.160 $1.74 $0.22 +14.3%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 10 0.165 $1.65 $-2.15 -56.6%