| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
377 |
0.775 |
$292.55 |
$11.57 |
+4.1% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
300 |
0.860 |
$257.99 |
$75.00 |
+41.0% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
235 |
0.560 |
$131.48 |
$-4.40 |
-3.2% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.465 |
$92.78 |
$2.79 |
+3.1% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
138 |
0.595 |
$82.08 |
$13.11 |
+19.0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
85 |
0.900 |
$76.59 |
$6.83 |
+9.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
No |
105 |
0.635 |
$66.67 |
$8.98 |
+15.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
76 |
0.790 |
$59.95 |
$-2.05 |
-3.3% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
143 |
0.415 |
$59.18 |
$18.10 |
+44.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
66 |
0.885 |
$58.39 |
$0.82 |
+1.4% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? |
No |
96 |
0.570 |
$54.64 |
$-2.22 |
-3.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
60 |
0.825 |
$49.89 |
$0.98 |
+2.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? |
Yes |
83 |
0.555 |
$46.27 |
$12.13 |
+35.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
165 |
0.260 |
$42.81 |
$-3.45 |
-7.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
98 |
0.435 |
$42.45 |
$-2.95 |
-6.5% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? |
No |
51 |
0.810 |
$41.02 |
$3.27 |
+8.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
90 |
0.455 |
$40.95 |
$-2.50 |
-5.8% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
44 |
0.920 |
$40.81 |
$1.27 |
+3.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
105 |
0.375 |
$39.27 |
$-2.14 |
-5.2% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
96 |
0.375 |
$36.12 |
$7.73 |
+27.2% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.285 |
$33.13 |
$-25.88 |
-43.9% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
47 |
0.680 |
$31.77 |
$2.53 |
+8.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
44 |
0.720 |
$31.40 |
$6.89 |
+28.1% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
Yes |
65 |
0.475 |
$30.79 |
$5.47 |
+21.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.545 |
$30.44 |
$3.88 |
+14.6% |