PnL (30d)

+$95

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$100

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

17W / 4L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

17W / 20L

Trades (30d)

37

across 6 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$23.65

avg win $56 · loss $74

Profit Factor

2.28

$168 won / $74 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.0% 322W/224L	108	$44,856
₿ Crypto	25.0% 8W/24L	9	$2,789
🎬 Culture	4.2% 1W/23L	5	$1,576
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$219
⚽ Sports	—	2	$408

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?	No	488	0.935	$456.21	$7.32	+1.6%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Down	780	0.535	$417.30	$27.10	+6.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	1,111	0.375	$416.62	$-72.21	-14.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	353	0.673	$237.87	$-43.38	-15.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	1,246	0.115	$143.29	$-120.67	-45.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	425	0.235	$99.88	$-82.88	-45.3%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	836	0.095	$79.42	$-196.46	-71.2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?	Yes	638	0.105	$66.97	$-199.51	-74.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?	Yes	471	0.045	$21.21	$-181.50	-89.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	2,500	0.004	$10.00	$-60.00	-85.7%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?	No	72	0.099	$7.12	$-1.01	-12.4%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?	Yes	8	0.085	$0.64	$-0.42	-39.3%