PnL (30d)

+$485

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$172

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+30.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

91%

52W / 5L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

52W / 6L

Trades (30d)

58

across 4 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$161.53

avg win $321 · loss $158

Profit Factor

4.08

$642 won / $158 lost

Reward / Risk

2.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.0% 322W/224L	108	$44,856
₿ Crypto	25.0% 8W/24L	9	$2,789
🎬 Culture	4.2% 1W/23L	5	$1,576
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$219
⚽ Sports	—	2	$408

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Down	780	0.615	$479.70	$89.50	+22.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	1,111	0.425	$472.18	$-16.66	-3.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?	No	488	0.935	$456.21	$7.32	+1.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	353	0.654	$230.98	$-50.27	-17.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	1,246	0.105	$130.83	$-133.13	-50.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	425	0.215	$91.38	$-91.38	-50.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	836	0.095	$79.42	$-196.46	-71.2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?	Yes	638	0.080	$51.02	$-215.46	-80.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?	Yes	471	0.044	$20.98	$-181.74	-89.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	2,500	0.008	$20.00	$-50.00	-71.4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?	No	72	0.106	$7.66	$-0.47	-5.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?	Yes	8	0.085	$0.64	$-0.42	-39.3%