| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
429 |
0.905 |
$388.12 |
$88.12 |
+29.4% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.750 |
$150.00 |
$-14.00 |
-8.5% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
167 |
0.715 |
$119.65 |
$-2.51 |
-2.1% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? |
No |
156 |
0.725 |
$113.04 |
$0.78 |
+0.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.414 |
$82.90 |
$-8.90 |
-9.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
200 |
0.336 |
$67.20 |
$5.00 |
+8.0% |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? |
No |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-18.00 |
-23.7% |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.275 |
$55.00 |
$-37.00 |
-40.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Yes |
160 |
0.325 |
$52.00 |
$0.80 |
+1.6% |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? |
Yes |
185 |
0.251 |
$46.32 |
$-15.50 |
-25.1% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? |
Yes |
112 |
0.345 |
$38.56 |
$-3.92 |
-9.2% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.350 |
$35.00 |
$-8.00 |
-18.6% |
| Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? |
No |
60 |
0.455 |
$27.19 |
$1.49 |
+5.8% |
| Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
47 |
0.560 |
$26.15 |
$-1.40 |
-5.1% |
| Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? |
No |
200 |
0.129 |
$25.80 |
$-0.20 |
-0.8% |
| Will FlyQuest Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split? |
Yes |
150 |
0.150 |
$22.50 |
$-1.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? |
No |
63 |
0.326 |
$20.56 |
$0.28 |
+1.4% |
| Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
162 |
0.125 |
$20.29 |
$-7.30 |
-26.5% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? |
No |
108 |
0.175 |
$18.84 |
$-17.77 |
-48.5% |
| Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.085 |
$17.00 |
$-3.00 |
-15.0% |
| Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election? |
No |
155 |
0.095 |
$14.74 |
$-14.74 |
-50.0% |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? |
Yes |
25 |
0.572 |
$14.30 |
$-0.13 |
-0.9% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.365 |
$13.06 |
$0.18 |
+1.4% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
Yes |
20 |
0.645 |
$12.73 |
$0.49 |
+4.0% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
Yes |
21 |
0.584 |
$12.07 |
$-0.81 |
-6.3% |