| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
429 |
0.815 |
$349.48 |
$49.48 |
+16.5% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
200 |
0.640 |
$128.00 |
$-24.00 |
-15.8% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
167 |
0.715 |
$119.65 |
$-2.51 |
-2.1% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? |
No |
156 |
0.725 |
$113.04 |
$0.78 |
+0.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.414 |
$82.90 |
$-8.90 |
-9.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
200 |
0.324 |
$64.80 |
$2.60 |
+4.2% |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? |
No |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-18.00 |
-23.7% |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.275 |
$55.00 |
$-37.00 |
-40.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Yes |
160 |
0.325 |
$52.00 |
$0.80 |
+1.6% |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? |
Yes |
185 |
0.251 |
$46.32 |
$-15.50 |
-25.1% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? |
Yes |
126 |
0.345 |
$43.34 |
$-4.41 |
-9.2% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.345 |
$34.49 |
$-8.51 |
-19.8% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
89 |
0.380 |
$33.94 |
$-3.57 |
-9.5% |
| Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
52 |
0.590 |
$30.50 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.835 |
$27.64 |
$-0.17 |
-0.6% |
| Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? |
No |
60 |
0.455 |
$27.19 |
$1.49 |
+5.8% |
| Will FlyQuest Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split? |
Yes |
150 |
0.150 |
$22.50 |
$-1.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? |
No |
55 |
0.381 |
$20.88 |
$-9.98 |
-32.3% |
| Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? |
No |
63 |
0.326 |
$20.56 |
$0.28 |
+1.4% |
| Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
162 |
0.125 |
$20.29 |
$-7.30 |
-26.5% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? |
No |
190 |
0.100 |
$19.00 |
$-36.10 |
-65.5% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? |
No |
108 |
0.175 |
$18.84 |
$-17.77 |
-48.5% |
| Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
200 |
0.085 |
$17.00 |
$-3.00 |
-15.0% |
| Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election? |
No |
155 |
0.095 |
$14.74 |
$-14.74 |
-50.0% |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? |
Yes |
25 |
0.573 |
$14.32 |
$-0.10 |
-0.7% |