StopKillingBlackTransgenderKids
0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$21
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
1W / 9L
Win Return (30d)
10%
1W / 9L
Trades (30d)
10
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.30
avg win $120 · loss $35
Profit Factor
0.85
$120 won / $141 lost
Reward / Risk
3.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$118
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,909 · all-time $258,328
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5,551 |
0.790 |
$4,388.21 |
$1,612.62 |
+58.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? |
Yes |
1,615 |
0.940 |
$1,518.43 |
$424.40 |
+38.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,551 |
0.209 |
$1,162.97 |
$-1,612.62 |
-58.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? |
Yes |
809 |
0.934 |
$755.56 |
$238.92 |
+46.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? |
Yes |
628 |
0.630 |
$395.83 |
$-157.08 |
-28.4% |