PnL (30d)

+$4,193

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$402

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+27.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

44W / 36L · 29 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

57W / 52L

Trades (30d)

109

across 43 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$127.07

avg win $242 · loss $49

Profit Factor

7.58

$4,831 won / $637 lost

Reward / Risk

4.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$390

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.0% 44W/36L	43	$26,361
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/5L	2	$507
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/5L	2	$507
🤖 Tech	—	2	$3,276
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	5,551	0.790	$4,388.21	$1,612.62	+58.1%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	1,615	0.940	$1,518.43	$424.40	+38.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,551	0.209	$1,162.97	$-1,612.62	-58.1%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	809	0.944	$763.24	$246.60	+47.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	628	0.695	$436.61	$-116.30	-21.0%