| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
68 |
0.535 |
$36.63 |
$-8.56 |
-18.9% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
No |
31 |
0.635 |
$19.56 |
$-0.15 |
-0.8% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
18 |
0.825 |
$14.72 |
$0.28 |
+1.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.890 |
$12.86 |
$1.59 |
+14.1% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
No |
9 |
0.805 |
$7.44 |
$0.97 |
+15.0% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
9 |
0.745 |
$6.71 |
$0.17 |
+2.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.821 |
$6.39 |
$-0.08 |
-1.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.435 |
$5.04 |
$-2.03 |
-28.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
12 |
0.295 |
$3.65 |
$-4.02 |
-52.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.315 |
$3.05 |
$-4.02 |
-56.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
10 |
0.175 |
$1.79 |
$-4.87 |
-73.1% |