| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
68 |
0.525 |
$35.95 |
$-9.24 |
-20.5% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
No |
31 |
0.635 |
$19.56 |
$-0.15 |
-0.8% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
18 |
0.825 |
$14.72 |
$0.28 |
+1.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.885 |
$12.79 |
$1.52 |
+13.5% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
No |
9 |
0.785 |
$7.25 |
$0.79 |
+12.1% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
9 |
0.746 |
$6.72 |
$0.18 |
+2.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.827 |
$6.44 |
$-0.04 |
-0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.435 |
$5.04 |
$-2.03 |
-28.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
12 |
0.290 |
$3.59 |
$-4.09 |
-53.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.255 |
$2.47 |
$-4.60 |
-65.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
10 |
0.165 |
$1.69 |
$-4.97 |
-74.6% |