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Trader leaderboard/LongShot-Louie

LongShot-Louie

0xbfbb9bdd654cb928a1b7b36e994bd53512a4dc2b
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$56
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
48W / 10L
Trades (30d)
58
across 8 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.40
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,728 · all-time $1,887,590

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.6% 22W/6L 27 $3,331
💵 Economy 2 $480
🤖 Tech 2 $42
🏛 Politics 1 $11
₿ Crypto 1 $191

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,249 0.445 $555.80 $83.76 +17.7%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No 1,000 0.540 $539.97 $-7.00 -1.3%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 500 0.945 $472.50 $117.50 +33.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 496 0.845 $419.26 $75.57 +22.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 600 0.445 $267.00 $45.50 +20.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 900 0.285 $256.41 $-47.59 -15.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 318 0.645 $205.07 $69.52 +51.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $25.00 +15.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 2,700 0.065 $175.50 $-184.47 -51.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 200 0.760 $152.00 $24.60 +19.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 170 0.755 $128.35 $10.05 +8.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 256 0.455 $116.59 $47.40 +68.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 840 0.125 $105.00 $26.20 +33.3%
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.940 $94.00 $22.00 +30.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.885 $88.50 $8.50 +10.6%
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? Yes 100 0.830 $82.99 $15.00 +22.1%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No 50 0.925 $46.25 $3.75 +8.8%
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 400 0.095 $38.00 $-12.50 -24.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 400 0.093 $37.40 $23.00 +159.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 100 0.356 $35.65 $18.65 +109.7%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 600 0.052 $31.50 $6.30 +25.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,200 0.025 $29.40 $1.80 +6.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 200 0.140 $28.00 $14.00 +100.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 3,200 0.007 $24.00 $12.57 +110.0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,203 0.011 $23.13 $5.51 +31.2%