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Trader leaderboard/LongShot-Louie

LongShot-Louie

0xbfbb9bdd654cb928a1b7b36e994bd53512a4dc2b
PnL (30d)
+$505
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$145
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+25.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
22W / 6L · 142 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
102W / 59L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
170
across 27 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$72.09
avg win $134 · loss $83
Profit Factor
4.03
$671 won / $167 lost
Reward / Risk
1.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,887,590

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.6% 22W/6L 27 $3,331
🏛 Politics 2 $151
💵 Economy 2 $480
🤖 Tech 2 $42
₿ Crypto 1 $191

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,249 0.445 $555.80 $83.76 +17.7%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No 1,000 0.540 $539.97 $-7.00 -1.3%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 500 0.945 $472.50 $117.50 +33.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 496 0.845 $419.26 $75.57 +22.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 600 0.445 $267.00 $45.50 +20.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 900 0.285 $256.41 $-47.59 -15.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 318 0.640 $203.48 $67.93 +50.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $25.00 +15.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 2,700 0.065 $175.50 $-184.47 -51.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 200 0.790 $158.00 $30.60 +24.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 170 0.755 $128.35 $10.05 +8.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 256 0.455 $116.59 $47.40 +68.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 840 0.130 $109.20 $30.40 +38.6%
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.940 $94.00 $22.00 +30.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.885 $88.50 $8.50 +10.6%
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? Yes 100 0.830 $82.99 $15.00 +22.1%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No 50 0.905 $45.25 $2.75 +6.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 400 0.090 $36.20 $21.80 +151.4%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 100 0.356 $35.65 $18.65 +109.7%
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 400 0.085 $34.00 $-16.50 -32.7%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 600 0.052 $31.50 $6.30 +25.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,200 0.025 $29.40 $1.80 +6.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 200 0.125 $25.00 $11.00 +78.6%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 3,200 0.007 $24.00 $12.57 +110.0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,203 0.011 $23.13 $5.51 +31.2%