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Trader

0xbea810a37a6166b87c6b4ef5208175fd279c36ef
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$313
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$81
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+17.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
9W / 0L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
12W / 0L
Trades (30d)
12
across 4 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$156.62
avg win $157
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,565 · all-time $395,077

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 14W/2L 12 $8,072
💵 Economy 81.8% 9W/2L 11 $6,805
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 7 $4,961
🏛 Politics 100.0% 9W/0L 4 $1,843

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 1,462 0.925 $1,352.71 $402.71 +42.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 1,204 0.875 $1,053.55 $573.55 +119.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 1,028 0.955 $980.89 $180.89 +22.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 1,672 0.535 $894.27 $67.54 +8.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 317 0.785 $249.21 $195.42 +363.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 231 0.971 $224.40 $24.40 +12.2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 128 0.515 $66.08 $13.47 +25.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 650 0.021 $13.32 $-5.67 -29.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 64 0.155 $9.95 $-9.95 -50.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 17 0.555 $9.25 $-0.75 -7.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 23 0.395 $8.98 $-1.02 -10.2%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 111 0.038 $4.26 $-5.69 -57.2%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026? No 2 0.915 $1.55 $0.55 +55.1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.095 $0.29 $-0.71 -71.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.075 $0.28 $-0.72 -72.2%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 4 0.035 $0.15 $-0.85 -85.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.025 $0.09 $-0.91 -91.1%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.005 $0.02 $-0.98 -97.7%