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Trader

0xbea810a37a6166b87c6b4ef5208175fd279c36ef
PnL (30d)
+$366
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,654
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
14W / 2L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
45W / 2L
Trades (30d)
47
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$73.20
avg win $128 · loss $9
Profit Factor
21.19
$384 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
14.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,565 · all-time $395,077

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 14W/2L 12 $7,478
💵 Economy 81.8% 9W/2L 11 $6,211
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 7 $4,961
🏛 Politics 100.0% 9W/0L 4 $1,250

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 1,462 0.925 $1,352.71 $402.71 +42.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 1,204 0.855 $1,029.47 $549.47 +114.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 1,028 0.956 $981.92 $181.92 +22.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 1,672 0.545 $910.99 $84.26 +10.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 317 0.795 $252.39 $198.59 +369.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 231 0.971 $224.52 $24.52 +12.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 128 0.515 $66.08 $13.47 +25.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 650 0.021 $13.32 $-5.67 -29.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 64 0.165 $10.59 $-9.31 -46.8%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 17 0.555 $9.25 $-0.75 -7.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 23 0.405 $9.20 $-0.80 -8.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 111 0.038 $4.26 $-5.69 -57.2%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026? No 2 0.915 $1.55 $0.55 +55.1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.095 $0.29 $-0.71 -71.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.075 $0.28 $-0.72 -72.2%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 4 0.035 $0.15 $-0.85 -85.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.026 $0.09 $-0.91 -90.7%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.005 $0.02 $-0.98 -97.7%