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Trader leaderboard/luckywind

luckywind

0xbe53f59bc7854f669bb3581a026a2de8455d2dba
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$94
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
27W / 28L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
29W / 28L
Trades (30d)
57
across 41 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$2.40
avg win $1 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.22
$27 won / $121 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$29
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,045 · all-time $1,272,910

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.3% 2,798W/1,129L 2668 $79,419
⚽ Sports 72.5% 421W/160L 481 $5,924
🏛 Politics 69.2% 9W/4L 15 $93
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 5 $40
🎬 Culture 40.0% 2W/3L 5 $37
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins Trace Esports 20 1.000 $19.99 $4.66 +30.4%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? Yes 40 0.335 $13.40 $-19.15 -58.8%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs Team Resilience 10 1.000 $9.99 $3.29 +49.2%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Sashi Esport 10 1.000 $9.99 $3.99 +66.6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 10 1.000 $9.99 $2.69 +36.9%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinka Daniil Glinka 10 0.905 $9.05 $3.20 +54.7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 10 0.845 $8.45 $-0.05 -0.6%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group Dplus KIA Challengers 7 0.999 $6.99 $2.02 +40.6%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs BetBoom Team 10 0.635 $6.35 $-0.55 -8.0%
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B Abyssal 10 0.580 $5.80 $-0.20 -3.3%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins KeepBest Gaming 10 0.560 $5.60 $-1.20 -17.6%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 5 0.954 $4.77 $0.42 +9.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 5 0.949 $4.74 $0.39 +9.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 10 0.215 $2.15 $-6.65 -75.6%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 10 0.001 $0.01 $-7.39 -99.9%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs ARCRED 10 0.001 $0.01 $-5.89 -99.9%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Aliona Falei 10 0.001 $0.01 $-5.79 -99.9%