luckywind
0xbe53f59bc7854f669bb3581a026a2de8455d2dba
PnL (30d)
−$2,211
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
2,797W / 1,129L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
2,799W / 1,133L · 27 open
Trades (30d)
3,959
across 2,668 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.83
avg win $8 · loss $20
Profit Factor
0.87
$14,634 won / $16,845 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$545
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,935 · all-time $1,272,800
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? |
Yes |
40 |
0.335 |
$13.40 |
$-19.15 |
-58.8% |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group |
Kiwoom DRX Challengers |
10 |
1.000 |
$9.99 |
$2.99 |
+42.8% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group |
Dplus KIA Challengers |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.41 |
$1.44 |
+28.9% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.77 |
$0.42 |
+9.7% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
5 |
0.944 |
$4.72 |
$0.37 |
+8.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
10 |
0.215 |
$2.15 |
$-6.65 |
-75.6% |