Trader
0xbda56bf42beeb350d8e1669e1b85179e0298fa16
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$15
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
49W / 53L
Win Return (30d)
48%
49W / 53L
Trades (30d)
102
across 33 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.46
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.77
$51 won / $66 lost
Reward / Risk
0.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$51
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $827 · all-time $194,167
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? |
No |
41 |
0.930 |
$38.32 |
$3.68 |
+10.6% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August? |
No |
40 |
0.910 |
$36.40 |
$4.20 |
+13.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? |
No |
25 |
0.955 |
$23.88 |
$1.88 |
+8.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.10 |
$1.30 |
+7.7% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August? |
No |
20 |
0.870 |
$17.40 |
$0.40 |
+2.4% |