PnL (30d)

−$38

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

428W / 386L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

435W / 394L

Trades (30d)

829

across 270 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.14

avg win $2 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.89

$299 won / $337 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$135

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.6% 428W/386L	270	$12,124
₿ Crypto	32.1% 9W/19L	7	$556
💵 Economy	32.1% 9W/19L	7	$556

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	41	0.925	$38.11	$3.48	+10.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	40	0.910	$36.40	$4.20	+13.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	25	0.955	$23.88	$1.88	+8.5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.910	$18.20	$1.40	+8.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	20	0.850	$17.00	$0.00	+0.0%