| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
62 |
0.790 |
$48.98 |
$4.09 |
+9.1% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
49 |
0.715 |
$35.03 |
$5.63 |
+19.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
23 |
0.835 |
$19.20 |
$7.24 |
+60.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
21 |
0.685 |
$14.38 |
$-0.10 |
-0.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.370 |
$12.58 |
$0.68 |
+5.7% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? |
Yes |
51 |
0.235 |
$11.98 |
$-0.40 |
-3.2% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
18 |
0.644 |
$11.59 |
$-0.43 |
-3.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
13 |
0.885 |
$11.51 |
$1.36 |
+13.5% |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
No |
33 |
0.325 |
$10.72 |
$-1.48 |
-12.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.760 |
$10.64 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.465 |
$8.84 |
$-0.85 |
-8.8% |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
12 |
0.690 |
$8.28 |
$-0.12 |
-1.4% |
| Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
20 |
0.410 |
$8.20 |
$-0.20 |
-2.4% |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
39 |
0.205 |
$7.99 |
$0.19 |
+2.5% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
34 |
0.220 |
$7.59 |
$0.34 |
+4.8% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? |
Yes |
14 |
0.495 |
$6.93 |
$-0.21 |
-2.9% |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
Yes |
29 |
0.195 |
$5.66 |
$-7.11 |
-55.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
2 |
0.705 |
$1.34 |
$0.12 |
+10.1% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
No |
17 |
0.025 |
$0.44 |
$-5.84 |
-93.1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
No |
39 |
0.004 |
$0.18 |
$-9.69 |
-98.2% |