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Trader

0xbcd3e43e923a16925e89e3963865ca1c87ab1a5a
PnL (30d)
−$175
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$122
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
34W / 67L · 91 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
62W / 127L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
192
across 100 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.30
avg win $8 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.50
$175 won / $350 lost
Reward / Risk
0.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $450 · all-time $30,049

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.7% 34W/67L 100 $2,114
💵 Economy 2 $14
⚽ Sports 2 $20
🏛 Politics 1 $19
🎬 Culture 1 $17
🤖 Tech 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 62 0.790 $48.98 $4.09 +9.1%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 49 0.715 $35.03 $5.63 +19.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? No 23 0.835 $19.20 $7.24 +60.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 21 0.685 $14.38 $-0.10 -0.7%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? Yes 34 0.365 $12.41 $0.51 +4.3%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? Yes 51 0.235 $11.98 $-0.40 -3.2%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? Yes 18 0.644 $11.59 $-0.43 -3.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 13 0.890 $11.57 $1.43 +14.1%
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? No 33 0.325 $10.72 $-1.48 -12.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No 14 0.760 $10.64 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? Yes 19 0.465 $8.84 $-0.85 -8.8%
Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? Yes 20 0.410 $8.20 $-0.20 -2.4%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 39 0.210 $8.19 $0.39 +5.0%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 34 0.215 $7.42 $0.17 +2.4%
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? Yes 12 0.605 $7.26 $-1.14 -13.6%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? Yes 14 0.500 $7.00 $-0.14 -2.0%
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes 29 0.205 $5.94 $-6.82 -53.4%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 2 0.715 $1.36 $0.14 +11.7%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? No 17 0.028 $0.48 $-5.80 -92.4%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? No 39 0.004 $0.18 $-9.69 -98.2%