PnL (30d)

−$36

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 176L · 568 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

304W / 430L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

744

across 45 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

−$35.51

· loss $36

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $36 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$33

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.9% 3,091W/2,436L	215	$58,825
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/118L	31	$3,455
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/120L	24	$1,429
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/120L	22	$1,467
🎬 Culture	—	2	$30
₿ Crypto	—	1	$84

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

108 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	85	0.720	$61.14	$1.26	+2.1%
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	36	0.996	$35.86	$2.01	+6.0%
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	32	0.805	$25.92	$-2.63	-9.2%
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	26	0.915	$23.79	$0.13	+0.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	35	0.665	$23.24	$1.24	+5.6%
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	25	0.920	$22.70	$0.47	+2.1%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	20	0.989	$19.77	$0.59	+3.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	64	0.280	$18.01	$0.42	+2.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?	No	19	0.915	$17.48	$1.62	+10.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	20	0.855	$17.47	$0.31	+1.8%
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	19	0.905	$17.46	$0.10	+0.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	23	0.765	$17.25	$0.55	+3.3%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	27	0.637	$17.17	$0.23	+1.4%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	No	17	0.981	$17.05	$0.50	+3.0%
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	18	0.971	$17.03	$0.48	+2.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	21	0.800	$16.79	$0.36	+2.2%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	21	0.790	$16.55	$-0.00	-0.0%
Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	16	0.990	$16.07	$0.62	+4.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	20	0.755	$15.33	$-0.11	-0.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	18	0.825	$15.17	$-0.35	-2.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	20	0.725	$14.67	$0.11	+0.7%
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	24	0.565	$13.56	$-9.08	-40.1%
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	21	0.647	$13.48	$1.06	+8.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	20	0.635	$12.76	$-0.32	-2.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	21	0.605	$12.70	$-0.14	-1.1%