Log in
Trader leaderboard/Chegildek

Chegildek

0xbcc276705fb6d5a22e4aef994ede92f109918c9a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$30
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
471W / 662L · 929 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
1,070W / 977L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
2,062
across 68 markets · ~30 per market
EV / position
−$2.02
avg win $9 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.68
$65 won / $96 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,939 · all-time $1,397,528

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.9% 3,091W/2,436L 215 $58,825
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/125L 33 $3,712
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/135L 26 $1,543
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/135L 22 $1,566
🎬 Culture 2 $30
₿ Crypto 1 $84

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

109 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 36 0.996 $35.86 $2.01 +6.0%
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 32 0.810 $26.08 $-2.47 -8.6%
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No 26 0.915 $23.79 $0.13 +0.5%
Databricks IPO before 2027? No 25 0.915 $22.58 $0.34 +1.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes 35 0.645 $22.54 $0.54 +2.4%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 20 0.989 $19.77 $0.59 +3.1%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 23 0.839 $19.21 $0.37 +2.0%
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 19 0.915 $17.65 $0.29 +1.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? No 19 0.915 $17.48 $1.62 +10.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 23 0.770 $17.36 $0.66 +4.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? No 27 0.636 $17.15 $0.22 +1.3%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 17 0.981 $17.05 $0.50 +3.0%
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No 18 0.971 $17.04 $0.49 +3.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? No 21 0.804 $16.87 $0.45 +2.7%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 21 0.790 $16.55 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 24 0.685 $16.44 $-6.20 -27.4%
Stripe IPO before 2027? No 16 0.991 $16.09 $0.64 +4.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? No 21 0.765 $16.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 18 0.825 $15.17 $-0.35 -2.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 20 0.725 $14.67 $0.11 +0.7%
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 21 0.641 $13.35 $0.94 +7.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 20 0.635 $12.76 $-0.32 -2.4%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 15 0.730 $11.01 $-0.91 -7.7%
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes 41 0.265 $10.84 $-0.74 -6.4%
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No 11 0.955 $10.46 $0.28 +2.8%