r888
0xbca69be5edef416ba701f9a3a2983efdf58273e3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
13W / 3L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
17W / 8L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
28
across 6 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$2.01
avg win $6 · loss $2
Profit Factor
3.03
$6 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
3.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,766 · all-time $6,873,969
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.120 |
$600.04 |
$-1,400.09 |
-70.0% |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? |
No |
713 |
0.715 |
$509.46 |
$-24.94 |
-4.7% |
| Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch |
Yes |
350 |
0.715 |
$250.25 |
$22.75 |
+10.0% |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
No |
690 |
0.315 |
$217.26 |
$-100.01 |
-31.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.160 |
$160.00 |
$50.00 |
+45.5% |
| Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch |
Yes |
185 |
0.800 |
$147.78 |
$0.94 |
+0.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$23.00 |
+19.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.295 |
$59.00 |
$15.00 |
+34.1% |
| Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
573 |
0.043 |
$24.85 |
$-20.95 |
-45.8% |