r888
0xbca69be5edef416ba701f9a3a2983efdf58273e3
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$20
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
10W / 5L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
35W / 18L
Trades (30d)
53
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$6.51
avg win $62 · loss $105
Profit Factor
1.19
$125 won / $105 lost
Reward / Risk
0.59
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,866 · all-time $6,874,069
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.120 |
$600.04 |
$-1,400.09 |
-70.0% |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? |
No |
713 |
0.715 |
$509.46 |
$-24.94 |
-4.7% |
| Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch |
Yes |
350 |
0.720 |
$252.00 |
$24.50 |
+10.8% |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
No |
690 |
0.315 |
$217.26 |
$-100.01 |
-31.5% |
| Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch |
No |
864 |
0.190 |
$164.13 |
$51.83 |
+46.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.155 |
$155.00 |
$45.00 |
+40.9% |
| Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch |
Yes |
185 |
0.815 |
$150.54 |
$3.69 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$23.00 |
+19.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.300 |
$60.00 |
$16.00 |
+36.4% |
| Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
573 |
0.043 |
$24.56 |
$-21.24 |
-46.4% |