Trader
0xbc17d10a2b6bd7d0ea8ebbf38ebcfb96197431b0
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$2
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
2W / 8L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
2W / 8L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
14
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.87
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.02
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $148 · all-time $170,681
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
25 |
0.745 |
$18.62 |
$3.62 |
+24.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.815 |
$16.30 |
$2.55 |
+18.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.915 |
$13.72 |
$2.02 |
+17.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.885 |
$13.28 |
$1.32 |
+11.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.775 |
$7.75 |
$1.00 |
+14.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.375 |
$7.50 |
$-0.90 |
-10.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.455 |
$4.55 |
$-1.75 |
-27.8% |