Trader
0xbc17d10a2b6bd7d0ea8ebbf38ebcfb96197431b0
PnL (30d)
−$33
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
220W / 26L · 55 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
222W / 32L · 47 open
Trades (30d)
301
across 225 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.19
avg win $0 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.42
$24 won / $57 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $148 · all-time $170,681
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
25 |
0.745 |
$18.62 |
$3.62 |
+24.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.805 |
$16.10 |
$2.35 |
+17.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.915 |
$13.72 |
$2.02 |
+17.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.885 |
$13.28 |
$1.32 |
+11.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.775 |
$7.75 |
$1.00 |
+14.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.375 |
$7.50 |
$-0.90 |
-10.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.455 |
$4.55 |
$-1.75 |
-27.8% |