| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
No |
409 |
0.635 |
$259.46 |
$7.77 |
+3.1% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
283 |
0.905 |
$256.11 |
$7.07 |
+2.8% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
862 |
0.284 |
$245.29 |
$23.48 |
+10.6% |
| Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? |
No |
156 |
0.645 |
$100.62 |
$42.89 |
+74.3% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
256 |
0.390 |
$99.78 |
$28.14 |
+39.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
207 |
0.460 |
$95.15 |
$-74.13 |
-43.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
142 |
0.665 |
$94.74 |
$3.36 |
+3.7% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
98 |
0.968 |
$94.58 |
$32.22 |
+51.7% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
180 |
0.520 |
$93.74 |
$-3.61 |
-3.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? |
Yes |
155 |
0.575 |
$89.12 |
$-9.63 |
-9.8% |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? |
No |
131 |
0.635 |
$83.18 |
$3.27 |
+4.1% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.065 |
$81.23 |
$-103.00 |
-55.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
102 |
0.786 |
$79.91 |
$21.81 |
+37.5% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
192 |
0.410 |
$78.80 |
$-20.86 |
-20.9% |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
180 |
0.415 |
$74.50 |
$2.69 |
+3.7% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
137 |
0.480 |
$65.60 |
$4.10 |
+6.7% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
70 |
0.903 |
$63.24 |
$1.64 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? |
No |
665 |
0.085 |
$56.51 |
$-37.91 |
-40.2% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
No |
410 |
0.115 |
$47.13 |
$-33.48 |
-41.5% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.990 |
$45.82 |
$0.76 |
+1.7% |
| Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.475 |
$44.17 |
$4.18 |
+10.5% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
No |
43 |
0.996 |
$42.97 |
$0.15 |
+0.4% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? |
Yes |
300 |
0.140 |
$42.00 |
$-24.00 |
-36.4% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? |
Yes |
264 |
0.155 |
$40.97 |
$-38.33 |
-48.3% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? |
Yes |
182 |
0.220 |
$40.06 |
$-20.15 |
-33.5% |