| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
247,475 |
0.645 |
$159,621.21 |
$39,109.67 |
+32.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
64,361 |
0.865 |
$55,671.98 |
$4,309.40 |
+8.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
47,082 |
0.935 |
$44,021.58 |
$9,280.93 |
+26.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
42,888 |
0.865 |
$37,097.73 |
$2,762.77 |
+8.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
367,646 |
0.086 |
$31,433.72 |
$14,926.05 |
+90.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
57,017 |
0.460 |
$26,199.42 |
$722.24 |
+2.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
85,539 |
0.260 |
$22,197.28 |
$-5,211.78 |
-19.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
472,977 |
0.044 |
$21,047.46 |
$7,536.88 |
+55.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
98,920 |
0.209 |
$20,723.83 |
$-2,273.69 |
-9.9% |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? |
No |
19,848 |
0.979 |
$19,430.73 |
$-99.10 |
-0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15,734 |
0.835 |
$13,137.66 |
$203.48 |
+1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
14,303 |
0.875 |
$12,515.17 |
$506.99 |
+4.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
24,294 |
0.455 |
$11,053.96 |
$2,282.41 |
+26.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
27,114 |
0.405 |
$10,981.33 |
$849.22 |
+8.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
9,279 |
0.978 |
$9,070.14 |
$190.38 |
+2.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
8,916 |
0.905 |
$8,069.31 |
$1,532.59 |
+23.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
26,529 |
0.278 |
$7,361.84 |
$2,269.30 |
+44.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
15,784 |
0.445 |
$7,023.76 |
$787.18 |
+12.6% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
5,062 |
0.919 |
$4,654.18 |
$310.36 |
+7.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
8,366 |
0.540 |
$4,521.81 |
$-99.05 |
-2.1% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
4,453 |
0.980 |
$4,361.74 |
$108.64 |
+2.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
34,583 |
0.117 |
$4,028.88 |
$-1,608.48 |
-28.5% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
62,922 |
0.052 |
$3,303.40 |
$63.87 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
7,321 |
0.445 |
$3,257.93 |
$432.25 |
+15.3% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
3,774 |
0.863 |
$3,254.80 |
$984.51 |
+43.4% |