| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? |
Yes |
979 |
0.315 |
$308.53 |
$-5.40 |
-1.7% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
No |
390 |
0.715 |
$278.56 |
$46.93 |
+20.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
361 |
0.746 |
$268.99 |
$21.16 |
+8.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
297 |
0.885 |
$262.85 |
$13.37 |
+5.4% |
| Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
No |
334 |
0.746 |
$249.00 |
$-0.17 |
-0.1% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
390 |
0.615 |
$239.84 |
$-9.75 |
-3.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
232 |
0.675 |
$156.68 |
$15.08 |
+10.7% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
206 |
0.715 |
$147.50 |
$15.49 |
+11.7% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
Yes |
913 |
0.145 |
$132.33 |
$-97.99 |
-42.5% |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? |
Yes |
473 |
0.265 |
$125.43 |
$-48.90 |
-28.1% |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? |
Yes |
657 |
0.185 |
$121.55 |
$-3.29 |
-2.6% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
Yes |
300 |
0.360 |
$108.00 |
$3.00 |
+2.9% |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
163 |
0.625 |
$101.61 |
$1.04 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? |
No |
138 |
0.715 |
$98.54 |
$0.69 |
+0.7% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.325 |
$97.31 |
$-6.60 |
-6.4% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
234 |
0.394 |
$92.17 |
$4.03 |
+4.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
255 |
0.325 |
$82.76 |
$-11.48 |
-12.2% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.275 |
$82.50 |
$16.50 |
+25.0% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
No |
93 |
0.867 |
$80.63 |
$0.80 |
+1.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.265 |
$79.24 |
$1.54 |
+2.0% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.260 |
$77.91 |
$2.92 |
+3.9% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
916 |
0.080 |
$73.29 |
$-118.63 |
-61.8% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
90 |
0.780 |
$70.54 |
$16.75 |
+31.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
260 |
0.254 |
$66.15 |
$-13.03 |
-16.5% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
300 |
0.220 |
$65.98 |
$-29.80 |
-31.1% |