Trader
0xba1fda79aa26888e0536247cee7c67c6b5294258
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$265
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$67
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-27.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
18W / 44L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
18W / 54L
Trades (30d)
72
across 16 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$22.07
avg win $17 · loss $42
Profit Factor
0.20
$68 won / $333 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,861 · all-time $64,757
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
50.2%
139W/138L
|
57 |
$6,023 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
6.7%
1W/14L
|
3 |
$302 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
593 |
0.165 |
$97.92 |
$17.93 |
+22.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
123 |
0.635 |
$78.29 |
$19.18 |
+32.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
69 |
0.455 |
$31.22 |
$-8.58 |
-21.6% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.225 |
$28.55 |
$-46.96 |
-62.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
486 |
0.045 |
$21.87 |
$-82.31 |
-79.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.775 |
$2.92 |
$0.06 |
+2.0% |