Trader
0xba1fda79aa26888e0536247cee7c67c6b5294258
PnL (30d)
−$295
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$61
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
139W / 138L · 83 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
183W / 177L
Trades (30d)
360
across 57 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$7.20
avg win $21 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.55
$363 won / $659 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$153
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,748 · all-time $64,488
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
50.2%
139W/138L
|
57 |
$6,023 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
6.7%
1W/14L
|
3 |
$302 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
593 |
0.165 |
$97.92 |
$17.93 |
+22.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
123 |
0.610 |
$75.20 |
$16.10 |
+27.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
69 |
0.440 |
$30.19 |
$-9.61 |
-24.1% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.225 |
$28.55 |
$-46.96 |
-62.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
486 |
0.045 |
$21.87 |
$-82.31 |
-79.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.775 |
$2.92 |
$0.06 |
+2.0% |