| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
1.000 |
$99.95 |
$2.05 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
50 |
0.988 |
$49.38 |
$0.27 |
+0.6% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
43 |
0.985 |
$42.25 |
$0.41 |
+1.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.960 |
$19.20 |
$1.20 |
+6.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.956 |
$9.55 |
$0.21 |
+2.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.909 |
$9.09 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? |
No |
10 |
0.775 |
$7.75 |
$-0.05 |
-0.6% |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.250 |
$7.50 |
$-0.60 |
-7.4% |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? |
No |
10 |
0.657 |
$6.58 |
$-0.03 |
-0.4% |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? |
No |
10 |
0.615 |
$6.15 |
$-0.15 |
-2.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
19 |
0.325 |
$6.07 |
$-1.59 |
-20.8% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
No |
10 |
0.490 |
$4.91 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? |
No |
10 |
0.440 |
$4.40 |
$0.40 |
+10.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? |
No |
10 |
0.415 |
$4.15 |
$0.75 |
+22.1% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.377 |
$3.77 |
$3.27 |
+653.0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? |
Yes |
10 |
0.365 |
$3.65 |
$-3.25 |
-47.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? |
Yes |
10 |
0.325 |
$3.25 |
$-0.65 |
-16.7% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
10 |
0.325 |
$3.25 |
$1.15 |
+54.8% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
Yes |
10 |
0.295 |
$2.95 |
$-0.15 |
-4.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.225 |
$2.25 |
$-4.55 |
-66.9% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? |
Yes |
10 |
0.165 |
$1.65 |
$-0.05 |
-2.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? |
Yes |
20 |
0.068 |
$1.36 |
$-0.72 |
-34.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.107 |
$1.07 |
$-1.10 |
-50.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
8 |
0.105 |
$0.84 |
$-3.72 |
-81.6% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.045 |
$0.45 |
$-4.35 |
-90.6% |