| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.997 |
$99.65 |
$1.75 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
50 |
0.986 |
$49.30 |
$0.20 |
+0.4% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
43 |
0.977 |
$41.93 |
$0.09 |
+0.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.971 |
$19.41 |
$1.41 |
+7.8% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.909 |
$9.09 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? |
No |
10 |
0.775 |
$7.75 |
$-0.05 |
-0.6% |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.250 |
$7.50 |
$-0.60 |
-7.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.19 |
$-0.47 |
-6.1% |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? |
No |
10 |
0.658 |
$6.58 |
$-0.02 |
-0.3% |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? |
No |
10 |
0.620 |
$6.20 |
$-0.10 |
-1.6% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
No |
10 |
0.490 |
$4.91 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? |
Yes |
10 |
0.400 |
$4.00 |
$-2.90 |
-42.0% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
Yes |
10 |
0.290 |
$2.90 |
$-0.20 |
-6.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? |
Yes |
10 |
0.280 |
$2.80 |
$-1.10 |
-28.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.215 |
$2.15 |
$-4.65 |
-68.4% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? |
Yes |
20 |
0.067 |
$1.33 |
$-0.75 |
-36.1% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.127 |
$1.26 |
$0.76 |
+153.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
20 |
0.055 |
$1.10 |
$-2.00 |
-64.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.101 |
$1.00 |
$-1.18 |
-53.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
8 |
0.105 |
$0.84 |
$-3.72 |
-81.6% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.041 |
$0.41 |
$-4.39 |
-91.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
20 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-4.39 |
-99.8% |