CaptainCoinflip
0xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76
PnL (30d)
+$4,893
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$723
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
349W / 130L · 65 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
385W / 159L
Trades (30d)
544
across 72 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$80.21
avg win $168 · loss $76
Profit Factor
3.93
$6,562 won / $1,669 lost
Reward / Risk
2.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $107,757 · all-time $5,196,631
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House |
No |
50,000 |
0.989 |
$49,425.00 |
$24,425.00 |
+97.7% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
No |
1,020 |
0.789 |
$804.57 |
$-193.39 |
-19.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.011 |
$575.00 |
$-24,425.00 |
-97.7% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
500 |
0.800 |
$400.00 |
$34.00 |
+9.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.290 |
$290.00 |
$163.57 |
+129.4% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.065 |
$103.98 |
$-43.98 |
-29.7% |