PnL (30d)

−$142

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$20

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

96%

22W / 1L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

97%

32W / 1L

Trades (30d)

33

across 4 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$71.02

avg win $58 · loss $200

Profit Factor

0.29

$58 won / $200 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$200

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	91.5% 227W/21L	20	$86,881
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$201
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$200

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	217	0.962	$209.13	$11.74	+5.9%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	604	0.185	$111.68	$-89.08	-44.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	149	0.675	$100.30	$20.05	+25.0%
Elon Bull Run Parlay	No	93	0.962	$89.22	$4.78	+5.7%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	400	0.210	$84.00	$-128.00	-60.4%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	300	0.095	$28.50	$-52.50	-64.8%
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Yes	604	0.021	$12.92	$-0.75	-5.5%
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Alcaraz	35	0.310	$11.00	$-2.48	-18.4%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	7	0.987	$6.58	$0.91	+16.1%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35	0.185	$6.42	$-20.85	-76.4%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Yes	6	0.135	$0.81	$-0.09	-10.0%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	23	0.029	$0.68	$-1.76	-72.2%