Kalags
0xb8e4a4551d2c6b080ae5a523ff1f0cae8e922dae
PnL (30d)
+$411
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
227W / 21L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
237W / 22L
Trades (30d)
259
across 20 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$24.18
avg win $57 · loss $131
Profit Factor
2.04
$805 won / $394 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$200
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $391 · all-time $10,612,527
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
217 |
0.962 |
$209.13 |
$11.74 |
+5.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
604 |
0.185 |
$111.68 |
$-89.08 |
-44.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
149 |
0.675 |
$100.30 |
$20.05 |
+25.0% |
| Elon Bull Run Parlay |
No |
93 |
0.962 |
$89.22 |
$4.78 |
+5.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.210 |
$84.00 |
$-128.00 |
-60.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.095 |
$28.50 |
$-52.50 |
-64.8% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
Yes |
604 |
0.021 |
$12.92 |
$-0.75 |
-5.5% |
| Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? |
Alcaraz |
35 |
0.310 |
$11.00 |
$-2.48 |
-18.4% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.190 |
$6.60 |
$-20.67 |
-75.8% |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.987 |
$6.58 |
$0.91 |
+16.1% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.135 |
$0.81 |
$-0.09 |
-10.0% |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? |
Yes |
23 |
0.029 |
$0.68 |
$-1.76 |
-72.2% |