PnL (30d)

−$296

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

95%

1,639W / 85L · 35 open

Win Return (30d)

95%

1,670W / 86L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,759

across 502 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.61

avg win $1 · loss $45

Profit Factor

0.68

$642 won / $937 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$261

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	93.2% 5,801W/423L	1733	$284,316
🌤 Weather	89.7% 521W/60L	210	$18,365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 5?	No	201	0.993	$199.59	$-0.40	-0.2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	202	0.987	$199.37	$-0.76	-0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 5?	No	201	0.992	$199.29	$-0.50	-0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	No	154	0.999	$153.85	$4.19	+2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?	No	150	0.999	$149.78	$0.50	+0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 5?	No	150	0.996	$149.32	$0.07	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 5?	No	151	0.970	$146.47	$-3.02	-2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?	No	33	0.999	$33.40	$0.66	+2.0%