PnL (30d)

−$1,875

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

93%

5,801W / 423L · 77 open

Win Return (30d)

93%

5,868W / 424L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

6,301

across 1,733 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.10

avg win $1 · loss $38

Profit Factor

0.53

$2,156 won / $4,031 lost

Reward / Risk

0.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$485

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	93.2% 5,801W/423L	1733	$284,316
🌤 Weather	89.7% 521W/60L	210	$18,365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	No	154	0.995	$153.15	$3.50	+2.3%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?	No	154	0.994	$153.08	$2.34	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?	No	150	0.998	$149.62	$0.35	+0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 5?	No	150	0.995	$149.25	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 5?	No	151	0.980	$147.98	$-1.51	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5?	No	148	0.997	$147.44	$0.67	+0.5%