| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,700 |
0.655 |
$1,113.50 |
$-44.50 |
-3.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.962 |
$962.00 |
$192.00 |
+24.9% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.940 |
$939.99 |
$270.00 |
+40.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.924 |
$924.50 |
$19.64 |
+2.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.605 |
$907.40 |
$204.23 |
+29.0% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.754 |
$754.40 |
$-49.33 |
-6.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.645 |
$644.99 |
$-5.00 |
-0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
1,400 |
0.440 |
$615.91 |
$133.95 |
+27.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.765 |
$612.00 |
$29.00 |
+5.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
2,000 |
0.285 |
$569.93 |
$-258.81 |
-31.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
653 |
0.855 |
$558.31 |
$45.88 |
+9.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.695 |
$486.43 |
$-3.57 |
-0.7% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
513 |
0.941 |
$482.41 |
$29.12 |
+6.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.25 |
$193.03 |
+74.5% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
499 |
0.870 |
$433.83 |
$228.37 |
+111.1% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
500 |
0.780 |
$389.77 |
$-10.72 |
-2.7% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.335 |
$368.50 |
$-265.50 |
-41.9% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.705 |
$352.50 |
$-6.50 |
-1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.825 |
$330.00 |
$-2.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election? |
No |
349 |
0.940 |
$328.10 |
$55.85 |
+20.5% |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? |
No |
568 |
0.544 |
$309.26 |
$10.30 |
+3.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.140 |
$210.00 |
$-215.00 |
-50.6% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
500 |
0.410 |
$205.00 |
$55.00 |
+36.7% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? |
No |
801 |
0.255 |
$204.34 |
$-22.01 |
-9.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
500 |
0.394 |
$197.00 |
$64.50 |
+48.7% |